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Higher Interest Rates: What Comes Next for Sydney Commercial Property?

•By Nelson Perez

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60% on 29 September 2026, responding to persistent inflation and growing economic pressures. For Sydney’s commercial property owners and investors, the decision brings renewed attention to borrowing costs, investment returns and the strategies shaping their next move.

Yet, despite higher rates, the broader commercial property market continues to demonstrate resilience.

A changing financial landscape

Higher interest rates influence how commercial property transactions are financed and assessed. Increased borrowing costs can affect purchasing capacity, investment yields and the financial feasibility of new developments.

For property owners, refinancing costs and debt commitments may also influence decisions about holding, improving or selling an asset.

However, interest rates are only part of the equation. Property location, tenant demand, lease structures and income stability remain important factors in determining an asset’s performance and attractiveness to investors.

Commercial property fundamentals remain resilient

The RBA’s October 2026 Financial Stability Review reported improving fundamentals across most Australian commercial property markets, supported by continued investor interest and relatively low levels of financial stress among owners.

Retail and industrial assets have attracted strong investment activity, while demand for higher-quality office accommodation continues to support parts of the office market.

Nevertheless, performance varies between locations and asset types. For Sydney property owners, understanding these differences is increasingly important when evaluating opportunities or preparing assets for the market.

What should Sydney property owners consider?

In the current environment, three considerations deserve particular attention:

  • Review financial exposure: Assess borrowing commitments, operating costs and the implications of refinancing.
  • Understand market positioning: Consider how location, tenancy profile, building condition and competing properties influence buyer and tenant interest.
  • Evaluate strategic options: Determine whether selling, leasing, repositioning or retaining an asset best supports longer-term objectives.

Taking a proactive approach can help owners identify potential risks and opportunities before circumstances require more immediate decisions.

Conclusion: Clarity supports better property decisions

While interest rates continue to influence commercial property investment, market conditions cannot be assessed through monetary policy alone.

For Sydney’s commercial property owners, informed decisions depend on understanding both the broader economic environment and the individual characteristics of their assets.

Key takeaway

Higher borrowing costs do not necessarily mean weaker commercial property opportunities. Understanding your asset’s position, financial performance and market potential remains essential to choosing the right strategy.

Understand your property’s position

Whether you’re considering selling, leasing or reviewing your commercial asset’s performance, Ray White Commercial (SC) can help you assess the market and explore your options.


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